MOVE Index (Bond VIX)
Expected volatility of the US Treasury market calculated from bond options.
Market Impact
RISING / BULLISH
Increased uncertainty in rate outlook. Negative for mortgages and corporate bond markets. Volatile Dollar.
FALLING / BEARISH
Stable rates encourage capital inflow to risk assets. Activation of carry trades.
Context 2026
With Fed forward guidance shifting to an AI-driven interactive model, calmness in this index is an essential condition for market stability.
OmniMetric Relevance
Medium. Used in combination with VIX for multi-asset risk assessment.